VIVANT: How real is satellite surveillance? Rethinking Nogi on a rewatch

Work: VIVANT

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Major spoilers for all 10 episodes of the 2023 series VIVANT.

Satellite images are used in investigations, and short videos can be recorded from space. But the public sources checked here do not establish the existence of an all-seeing camera that can continuously follow individuals through a city and freely read their faces or number plates. Recording time, coverage, resolution and the time it takes to receive the images are separate considerations.

Returning to episode 1 after finishing VIVANT also changes how Yusuke Nogi’s escape looks. He seems genuinely overwhelmed, yet knowing his purpose makes another layer visible: the struggle over information. That sent me from his anxious expressions to a different question. What can satellite images, and different records examined together, actually tell us?

First time: an escape. Second time: what did he know?

Early in the series, Nogi travels to Balka over a mistaken money transfer, is pursued by the police and tries to escape with Nozaki and Kaoru. Including the ordeal in the desert, these were scenes I initially watched wondering whether this trading-company employee would survive.

TBS’s official recap, however, identifies Nogi as a Beppan intelligence operative who had gone undercover to pursue Tent. Once we know his purpose, the same expressions invite different questions.

Is he genuinely panicking? What is he concealing? What does he want to learn, and from whom?

Still, I do not think “everything went to plan” or “it was all an act” settles the matter. Having an undercover objective does not mean controlling every danger on the ground. Nor can a short official synopsis establish his thoughts in every scene.

To me, Nogi is less like a game character completing a flawless, no-damage run than one who takes hits, loses the planned route and recalculates as he goes. What unsettles me is that even when he seems to be falling apart, that is not where his part in the story ends.

Read his expression and his objective as different records

One pleasure of rewatching is discovering that Nogi’s expression no longer explains the whole person.

His actions to escape. His conduct as a company employee. His undercover objective. Several layers become visible at once. This is my reading as a viewer, rather than an established rule that three distinct processes must always be running simultaneously in his head.

For the same reason, we cannot comfortably assign all the danger to F and treat Nogi as an ordinary, harmless civilian. Nogi’s affiliation with Beppan is one question; whether a particular action or line belongs to Nogi or F is another.

An expression alone cannot prove either competence or incompetence. Let go of the assumption that someone who looks this helpless must be ordinary. A rewatch then becomes more than checking the clues to his identity. It also tests the assumptions we brought to the screen.

The relationship between Nogi and F is explored in this article on whether only F belongs to Beppan, available in Japanese. Here, the interest in reading several layers together takes us toward real-world satellite surveillance.

Japanese police do use satellite imagery

The connection between satellite imagery and criminal investigations exists beyond fiction.

At a press conference on September 6, 2022, the chair of Japan’s National Public Safety Commission described uses of commercial satellite imagery in investigations of serious crimes such as murder, environmental crimes such as illegal dumping, and disaster response.

A public National Police Agency document lists comparing earlier imagery to assess changes over time, adding map and distance information, and creating bird’s-eye views. These uses are different from watching one person on a street corner continuously from above. The fact that investigations use satellites does not establish that the full surveillance capability shown in a drama is available in practice.

Satellite video exists. A short clip is not continuous coverage

Planet’s official SkySat documentation describes videos lasting 30–120 seconds, covering approximately 1 km by 2.5 km. Recording video from space is already a commercial service.

To understand those numbers, it helps to keep four things separate:

  • Recording duration: how many seconds a single capture lasts.
  • Coverage: how much ground that video shows.
  • Revisit opportunities: how often the same location can be imaged again.
  • Delivery time: how long after capture the user receives the data.

Returning repeatedly is different from watching without interruption. A recording also need not appear on a user’s screen the instant it is captured. Optical imagery is affected by conditions including clouds, available light and obstructions such as buildings.

Hearing “satellite video” and imagining a security camera in space running around the clock gives the service quite a few extra features.

“30 cm-class” imagery does not mean readable faces

The public WorldView Legion data sheet gives a ground sample distance, or GSD, of 34 cm for panchromatic imagery when looking straight down. This describes how much distance on the ground corresponds to a pixel under those conditions.

There is an important distinction here: these are still-image specifications for a different satellite system. WorldView Legion’s 34 cm figure cannot be used as the resolution of SkySat video.

Detecting the presence of an object in imagery where one pixel corresponds to tens of centimetres on the ground is also different from identifying a person or vehicle through the details of a face or number plate. Viewing angle, contrast, movement and processing can all affect the result.

The public specifications examined here therefore do not establish reliable facial recognition or number-plate reading. Enlarging an image on a screen does not, by itself, turn details missing from the original recording into accurate new information.

Equally, the limits of these commercial products should not be declared the limits of every system in the world, including classified ones. This comparison stays within the public material we can check.

Put satellite images alongside other evidence

For me, the unsettling power of records lies in comparing them, rather than expecting one image to explain everything.

An object appears where none was visible before. Vehicles gather. A road changes after a disaster. A change noticed in satellite imagery could be checked against photographs taken on the ground, a site inspection or images from another date.

These are examples of how information might be combined. They do not establish that security-camera footage, phone locations, payments and communications records automatically flow into one screen everywhere, allowing anyone to be tracked. Which data are available, the accuracy of timestamps, matching errors, access permissions and legal conditions each need separate consideration.

Connecting records does not guarantee the truth, either. Two observations being close in place or time does not prove that they concern the same person or event.

Layering evidence can reveal something one image cannot. Getting the connections wrong can also produce a different story. Keeping both possibilities in mind is more realistic than imagining surveillance that knows everything.

The CIA is part of an institutional system, not a magic eye

The US National Reconnaissance Office, or NRO, describes its role as developing, acquiring, launching and operating reconnaissance satellites. Operating a satellite, analysing the resulting data and using the findings to make decisions are distinct activities.

NRO material also describes cooperation with other intelligence agencies and the military. That general account does not tell us who obtained which data in a particular investigation, or what those data revealed.

A mechanism that a drama can explain in one line and a system that actually depends on several organisations are different things. Leaving room for that distinction makes it easier to enjoy the fiction without mistaking it for a description of reality.

Neither Nogi nor a satellite can be understood from one view

On a first watch, VIVANT looked like the escape of a company employee caught up in a crisis. On a rewatch, it becomes a struggle over information: how much of his distress was genuine, and what was he trying to accomplish? Part of the interest lies in resisting the temptation to fill every gap with “all according to plan.”

Similarly, the single fact that a satellite can take images from space does not determine what we can learn from them. Short video and continuous surveillance, detecting an object and identifying an individual, acquiring an image and comparing records are different stages.

Watch only Nogi’s anxious face, and you may miss his undercover purpose. Look only at one detailed satellite image, and you may overlook limits of time and coverage.

The unease does not have to end with an all-powerful observer seeing everything. What are we looking at, and what are we missing? Rewatching with that question in mind lets another story emerge from the same scenes.

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